Oscar Eye: 5 Reasons To Feel Optimistic About This Year's Awards Race

By Katey Rich 2013-01-02 10:49:43discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
It was time to get a little realistic about this category and bump Arkin up to Mortal Lock, much as I would like his fine-but-unspectacular performance to get out of there and leave room for more contenders. I'm still thinking, though, that De Niro and Hoffman could possibly miss out, leaving room for wild cards like McConaughey or DiCaprio or even Eddie Redmayne to muscle their way in there. It's foolish to underestimate a voter's love of a good narrative behind a nomination, and with four previous winners seeming to crowd the category, they might be inclined to toss it to some newcomers instead. And if it winds up being a slate of four previous winners vs. one first-timer, no matter who that first-timer is, he could easily have the edge to win.

MORTAL LOCK

Alan Arkin, Argo
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
 
LIKELY CONTENDER

Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Javier Bardem, Skyfall
Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ewan McGregor, The Impossible

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