oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTRESS
Rachel Weisz's surprise win as Best Actress from the New York Film Critics Circle will hopefully help more people check out her movie The Deep Blue Sea, but I'm still not confident it can get her into the top 5. I still think it's a competition between Chastain and Lawrence, with a lot of room for movement below them. I'd still love to see Keira Knightley to jump up in there, but that requires proof that anyone has seen Anna Karenina.

MORTAL LOCK

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
LIKELY CONTENDER

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Naomi Watts, The Impossible Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs

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