Tommy Lee Jones remains the only lock I see in this category, but he's failed to win among any of the awards handed out this week, with Matthew McConaughey taking the nod from the New York critics and Leonardo DiCaprio getting attention from the NBR. I have been pulling hard for McConaughey's nomination all year, but I still think he needs to go a little further before it's certain. There are a lot of actors to choose from this year,
MORTAL LOCK
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
LIKELY CONTENDER
Alan Arkin, Argo
Javier Bardem, Skyfall
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
STILL IN THE RUNNING
Jason Clarke, Zero Dark Thirty
Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Jude Law, Anna Karenina
Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables
OUTSIDE CHANCE
Garrett Hedlund, On the Road
William H. Macy, The Sessions
Ewan McGregor, The Impossible
