Oscar Eye: How The Golden Globe, SAG And The Critics Have Affected The Race

BEST DIRECTOR

The inclusion of Quentin Tarantino instead of Tom Hooper in the Best Director lineup at the Globes was a genuine surprise, and suddenly Hooper and Les Mis seem a lot weaker than I would have figured-- but that's probably taking the Globes a bit too seriously. Right now both Les Mis and Django are waiting for audience acceptance to tip the scales in their favor, and how that happens could really determine how Oscar voters finally decide who to choose when filling out their ballots after Christmas.

MORTAL LOCK

Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

 

LIKELY CONTENDER

Michael Haneke, Amour
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

 

STILL IN THE RUNNING

NONE

 

OUTSIDE CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom
Sam Mendes, Skyfall
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild