Oscar Eye: How The Golden Globe, SAG And The Critics Have Affected The Race

By Katey Rich 2012-12-13 13:55:54discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTOR
There are a lot of odd nominees from the Globes in the Musical/Comedy category, and sadly none of them save Hugh Jackman or Bradley Cooper likely stands a chance of making it into the Oscar five. The field is just too damn crowded, to the point that I still don't feel like there are any guarantees aside from Daniel Day-Lewis, who will really just be joined by four other actors who he'll beat in the end. It feel like any of the five in the Likely Contender category could just miss out, which is pretty exciting in terms of looking toward the future, but maddening in terms of actually trying to make predictions.

MORTAL LOCK

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
 
LIKELY CONTENDER

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Jack Black, Bernie
Matt Damon, Promised Land
Jamie Foxx, Django Unchained
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
 
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