Oscar Eye: Lincoln Holds Strong, Jennifer Lawrence Moves Up, And More Developments

By Katey Rich 2012-11-13 07:35:09discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTRESS
For reasons I don't entirely understand, Helen Mirren is emerging as a strong pick for her work in Hitchcock, so in she goes to the LIkely Contender spot. And since it's high time we pick a frontrunner in this weak category, Jennifer Lawrence has become the first Mortal Lock. She's got pretty much everything going for her this year, and her spiky work in Silver Linings Playbook might not be enough for a slam-dunk win-- the movie is a comedy, after all-- she's got the nomination sewn up.

MORTAL LOCK

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
   
LIKELY CONTENDER

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Melanie Lynskey, Hello I Must Be Going
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
Barbra Streisand, The Guilt Trip
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
Michelle Williams, Take This Waltz
Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Smashed
 
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