oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTOR
I don't usually let performances nobody has seen sneak into Likely Contender, but Daniel Day-Lewis is the giant, towering exception in pretty much every awards season, and never more than this year. If Lincoln turns out to have the goods the category might be over… but if Joaquin Phoenix can hang in there, especially with the Weinstein Company behind him, he could make for one of the most fascinating success stories in recent memory. But there are also some huge potential performances on the horizon, from the giant Les Miserables to whatever Zemeckis and Washington have in store for us in Flight.

MORTAL LOCK

NONE
LIKELY CONTENDER

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Ben Affleck, Argo
Matt Damon, Promised Land
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson
Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
Denzel Washington, Flight
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Jack Black, Bernie
Jamie Foxx, Django Unchained
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
Jake Gyllenhaal, End of Watch
Tommy Lee Jones, Hope Springs
Tom Holland, The Impossible
Liam Neeson, The Grey
Brad Pitt, Killing Them Softly
Suraj Sharma, Life of Pi

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