oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTOR
As the only actor contender in a guaranteed Best Picture nominee, Chiwetel Ejiofor gets the first Mortal Lock spot-- but that's far from a guarantee that he can actually win over the other men right below him. All of them still look formidable. All of them could potentially be vulnerable to a surprise nod for someone like Oscar Isaac or Leonardo DiCaprio. And all of them are a formidable wall blocking out people who might have a shot in another year, like Michael B. Jordan or even Chris Hemsworth, who I've removed entirely after the so-so performance of Rush.

MORTAL LOCK

Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave
LIKELY CONTENDER

Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Christian Bale, American Hustle
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Idris Elba, Mandela
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Joaquin Phoenix, Her
Forest Whitaker, Lee Daniels' The Butler
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Christian Bale, Out of the Furnace
Hugh Jackman, Prisoners
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

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