oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTRESS
Julia Roberts has been moved down to Supporting for August: Osage County, which clears up a little more space for a category that's still crammed with previous winners. And that's even after eliminating two other heavyweights, Naomi Watts and Kate Winslet, both of whom are in films (Diana and Labor Day, respectively) without enough juice to get them there. And finally, Cate Blanchett has been moved up to a Mortal Lock, because the star around her Blue Jasmine performance doesn't seem have dimmed, and among all the previous winners angling to join Sandra Bullock as a lock, Blanchett has the strongest swell of support thus far.

MORTAL LOCK

Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
LIKELY CONTENDER

Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Amy Adams, American Hustle
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Berenice Bejo, The Past
Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
Brie Larson, Short Term 12

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