oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTOR
We've now got a full group of five Likely Contenders for Best Actor, with Washington getting the expected bump up and everyone else holding firm. While it feels like The Master is disappearing a month after its September release, it's far to early to count it out in the acting categories. And this week's release of The Sessions should keep John Hawkes firmly in the competition as well. Only when Hitchcock premieres at the AFI Fest in November-- and anyone finally gets a look at Les Miserables-- will we start seeing just how tough this competition will be.

MORTAL LOCK

NONE
LIKELY CONTENDER

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master Denzel Washington, Flight
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Matt Damon, Promised Land
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Ben Affleck, Argo
Jack Black, Bernie
Jamie Foxx, Django Unchained
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
Jake Gyllenhaal, End of Watch
Tommy Lee Jones, Hope Springs
Tom Holland, The Impossible
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson
Liam Neeson, The Grey
Brad Pitt, Killing Them Softly
Suraj Sharma, Life of Pi

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