Oscar Eye: Wolf Of Wall Street Is In, Monuments Men Is Out, And Other Shakeups

By Katey Rich 2013-10-29 11:47:48discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST DIRECTOR

As goes Gravity's mortal lock status, so goes Alfonso Cuaron's, since his technical accomplishment is a huge part of what makes the film so great (and Ang Lee won Best Director for a similar level of commitment and skill for Life of Pi last year). Both Greengrass and McQueen remain hugely likely to join him, but I hesitate for various reasons-- Greengrass because Captain Phillips isn't yet a proven zeitgeist hit like Gravity, and McQueen for being generally averse to Oscar schmoozing. But I have an extremely hard time imagining them left out of the final 5 either way. I've knocked Clooney (for Monuments Men) out of the group, along with Ron Howard and Denis Villeneuve-- as much as their films might have potential as wild card Best Picture options, they won't find room in this hyper-crowded Best Director field.

MORTAL LOCK

Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
 
LIKELY CONTENDER

Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years A Slave
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

J.C. Chandor, All Is Lost
Lee Daniels, Lee Daniels' The Butler
John Lee Hancock, Saving Mr. Banks Spike Jonze, Her
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Joel and Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Scott Cooper, Out of the Furnace
Jean-Marc Vallee, Dallas Buyers Club
John Wells, August: Osage County
 
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