Oscar Eye: Zero Dark Thirty And Les Miserables Change The Conversation

By Katey Rich 2012-11-27 10:26:59discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTOR
So here's the problem with Les Miserables's strength in this category: it has been a long, long time since anyone won Best Actor for work in a musical. As my pal Nathaniel Rogers points out over at The FIlm Experience only three have done it ever, and the last was Rex Harrison way back in 1964. As a huge movie star Jackman has more power than anyone to bring it back, and if Les Miserables is as strong as it seems, he ought to be at least a Mortal Lock for a nomination (maybe next week!) But as mentioned constantly, the field here is strong, and aside from the mighty Daniel Day-Lewis, it's hard to know yet who will emerge from the pack. Even Jackman. Much as I want his performance to live up to all the raves it has so far.

MORTAL LOCK

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
 
LIKELY CONTENDER

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Matt Damon, Promised Land
Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Jack Black, Bernie
Jamie Foxx, Django Unchained
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
Suraj Sharma, Life of Pi
 
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