Oscar Eye: Zero Dark Thirty And Les Miserables Change The Conversation

By Katey Rich 2012-11-27 10:26:59discussion comments
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oscar winner prediction
BEST ACTRESS
I still don't really know what to make of Zero Dark Thirty's chances as a film, but Jessica Chastain is perfectly positioned in every way for a nomination-- and even if the film fails to catch fire, I think her spot in Best Actress is guaranteed. She's followed that path that so many have to a potential Oscar win, just much faster than most, emerging out of nowhere last year in six different films, snagging her Supporting nomination for The Help, and now emerging with a full-fledged lead role in a film earning heaps of praise. It's still looking like her vs. Lawrence with a few others to pad things out. I'm also finally giving in and moving Helen Hunt back to Supporting, mainly because The Sessions is failing to gather enough attention to make a groundswell for putting her role in the right category. She's now set to be cannon fodder to Anne Hathaway.

MORTAL LOCK

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
   
LIKELY CONTENDER

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
 
STILL IN THE RUNNING

Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
 
OUTSIDE CHANCE

Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
 
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