This Rotten Week: Predicting Iron Man 3 Reviews

I think we can call this weekend the official beginning of the summer movie season. For such a momentous occasion, or because of it, Tony Stark just the kind of guy to usher in the onslaught of big budget films we’ll be seeing over the next few months.

Just remember, I'm not reviewing these movies, but rather predicting where they'll end up on the Tomatometer. Let's take a look at what This Rotten Week has to offer.

Iron Man 3

Not much suspense here. By many, many, many early accounts Iron Man 3 is a kickass movie and perfect way to get the summer season rolling. It seems like only three years ago I was talking about the second piece in the franchise and complaining that a third movie might be overdoing it a bit, or at least be a case of diminishing returns. Oops. Incorrect. Not only will the Tomatometer score rival that of the first movie, but the early reviews just further cement the idea that the Marvel Studio Universe has a significant leg up on the comic book film competition. Man of Steel will of course keep DC hanging around, but until they get a Justice League ensemble together, Marvel owns this stage.

Much of Marvel’s success in this arena is owed to Iron Man, and really Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark. One of the reasons I didn’t think the original Iron Man stood much of a chance for sweeping success was the character’s metallic, robotic presence just didn’t feel like it had enough juice to produce a captivating on-screen hero. Again, oops. Downey’s ability to not only turn Stark into a love him/hate him/always-enjoy-him lead, but also add personality to a clunky armored suit, is pretty fascinating. Before this franchise hit, Iron Man was, at best, hovering just outside the top eight-to-ten of comic book characters in terms of mass appeal and broad following. I think that’s probably being generous. Downey-as-Stark has significantly tipped the scales, putting the character just outside the “untouchables” of (in no order) Batman, Spider-man, and Superman. We can debate the short list after that, but Iron Man even in the conversation is something that never happens without RDJ.

The third installment in the franchise, directed by Shane Black Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang (83%) is, like its predecessors, going to be huge. Though it marks the first not directed by Jon Favreau (he’s on as exec producer), Black’s screenplay and vision behind the lens doesn’t appear to have created any slippage. In fact, considering Iron Man 2 (72%) was a good-not-great sequel, adding a fresh directorial vision appears exactly the right move. At over 90% through more than fifty reviews, the film looks like it has the perfect mixture of action, story, characters, star power, effects, wit and pathos. Downey Jr. and company have set the summer bar pretty high. The Rotten Watch for Iron Man 3 is 91%

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Recapping last week:

Pain & Gain (Predicted: 34% Actual: 47%) was in the ballpark, but just missed getting within the ten percent mark. Even at below fifty percent, this movie sits near the top of Michael Bay’s resume and it came out strong at the box office. Critics were mixed on the turn Bay took in this movie, edging away from the boom-boom onslaught (though this flick still has elements of it). Katey Rich wrote perfectly about Bay’s shift towards the use of star power driving the film, rather than his hallmark focus on effects and destruction. It’s a great piece and worth the read.

Meanwhile, The Big Wedding (Predicted: 51% Actual: 6%) was an outright whiff. Full disclosure: I put the wrong prediction in for this movie as I was working off an old template. I trashed the flick and then had a prediction of 51% go up which makes very little sense. My intended prediction was 28% although it doesn’t matter because this movie was so dreadful that even that terrible score missed the mark by more than twenty percent. Honestly, I’m glad this thing sucked. It just looked so hack-y and terrible. If the score had been anywhere near fifty percent I would have questioned my faith in humanity. Fortunately, that wasn’t the case. Keep chugging along world.

Next time around its Gatsby being great and Tyler Perry being, well, Tyler Perry. It’s going to be a Rotten Week!

Doug Norrie

Doug began writing for CinemaBlend back when Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles actually existed. Since then he's been writing This Rotten Week, predicting RottenTomatoes scores for movies you don't even remember for the better part of a decade. He can be found re-watching The Office for the infinity time.