Remember how I kept telling you, over and over, that Richard Linklater’s Boyhood is, was and forever shall be the frontrunner to win Best Picture at the Oscars next month? Well, I might be changing my mind. I’m not totally backpedaling. And deep down, I still believe in my heart of hearts, that Boyhood will be the movie that is announced from the stage at the Academy Awards on February 22. But two major events occurred over the weekend that – at the very least – have me writing Boyhood in pencil rather than pen on my Oscar ballot. I explain in this week’s Monday Movie Memo.

Richard Linklater’s 12-year-spanning Boyhood has been collecting numerous accolades as we have meandered through the lengthy Oscar race. But as we talked about in a recent episode of our Awards Blend, the game changes now that we are in Phase Two of the Oscar marathon. We now know who the eight Best Picture nominees are, and those specific films are able to jockey for position at the front of the pack. It’s a spot Boyhood has enjoyed for several weeks. Are Birdman and American Sniper gaining ground? Have they even surpassed Linklater’s film in the race?

Birdman

While you are killing time waiting for the Oscars, read our coverage of this year’s nominees, including:

- The 10 best movie-music moments of 2014.

- President Obama’s favorite movie of 2014.

- Emma Stone’s terrific reaction to learning she earned an Oscar nomination.

- Michael Keaton on those Birdman/Batman comparisons.

- And my favorite story of the year so far: The true story behind the fake American Sniper baby.

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