The last few blocks are starting to drop into place. The final unviewed awards contenders are starting to screen, giving Oscar analysts the full picture as 2015 draws to a close. And while The Hateful Eight and Joy remain mysteries, Alejandro Inarritu’s The Revenant finally screened at The Academy on Monday night, and reactions flooded social media almost instantly. So, will this be an Oscar contender?

The almost-universal reaction to the movie is that it’s a technical masterpiece. That much is to be expected. Inarritu is fresh off of Birdman, which attempted to tell its whole story in one unbroken shot (with a few cheats), and stories have been written about how his survival tale The Revenant braved difficult environmental conditions to shoot in natural light in every frame. But was it worth it? THR’s awards pundit Scott Feinberg calls the movie "long," "gorgeous" and "gruesome." He concludes that it will get a Best Picture nomination, but isn’t the frontrunner to win.  

As for Leonardo DiCaprio, many have a vested interest in him finally winning his first Best Actor Oscar, and think The Revenant could be the performance that finally gets him over the hump. Vanity Fair goes on record, having seen the film, to say it’s DiCaprio’s race to lose. However, not everyone hopped on the bandwagon:
 

We’ll know more as the film continues to screen. I finally see The Revenant, as well as Joy and Hateful Eight, right after Thanksgiving. For now, here’s where I think the Oscar contenders sit on November 24:
 
oscar winner prediction
BEST PICTURE
 
The Frontrunners

Brooklyn
The Martian
Room
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
 
The Contenders

Bridge Of Spies
Carol
Ex Machina
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Joy
The Revenant
 
The Dark Horses

45 Years
Anomalisa
Beasts of No Nation
The Big Short
Black Mass
Concussion
Creed
The Danish Girl
The End Of The Tour
Love & Mercy
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Suffragette
Trumbo
 
The Longshots

In The Heart of the Sea
Sicario
Straight Outta Compton
Youth

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