It's sort of amazing that we have reached November and no network has outright cancelled a series, yet. However, some shows are not doing well, at all, at this point. The CW's Crazy Ex-Girlfriend is still the lowest-rated program on network TV and should count its lucky stars it has earned awards notice. Over at ABC, Notorious has already gotten its episode order cut. When that happens, a cancellation is frequently inevitable. Regardless, what about all of the shows that are doing O.K. right now?
This is not a list of shows that are likely to get cancelled. Instead this is a list of shows that are on the bubble and will really need to improve in the weeks to come if they want to get greenlighted for another season. Some of these shows are new, some old, but all are fighting and clawing to beat the other stuff airing during primetime. The key is that they are fighting and clawing to stick around, which means that if you don't see your show on this list, either it is screwed or it's doing well enough that it is already earmarked as likely to be renewed. For your sake, I hope it's the latter.
Sunday nights are often where CBS shows go to die, and die Elementary will if its numbers don't improve. During previous seasons, the 18-49 ratings have been high enough that the Sherlock Homes-oriented procedural has pulled through, but now in its fifth season, the show is most certainly on the bubble. If Elementary wants to squeak through with a sixth season, the show will need to entice people to stick around, and since CBS usually has more pilots than timeslots in a given season, this is one show that is very much a toss-up.
A few weeks ago, we wrote a story about the MacGyver pilot, noting that more than 11 million viewers tuned in for the premiere. The show at the time nabbed a 1.7 rating, but that has dropped drastically over the last month. Last week the show only did a little over 7 million total viewers and a .9 rating in the 18-49 demographic. Since the network averages ratings, that's not a disaster at this point, but it does indicate that a lot of CBS' Friday night viewers are less and less excited about the show. Still, because the show started with such high numbers---especially for a Friday---if it could just entice a few more viewers, it could continue to fit nicely into CBS' programming for some time to come.