PS4 Will Win This Gen Over Xbox One, Wii U, Says Analyst

By William Usher 2013-12-30 13:31:31 discussion comments
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The eighth generation of gaming has already been decided. Apparently the crowned winner of this generation's console war will be Sony and their beast from the east, the PlayStation 4. Well, that's according to a new analytical breakdown offered by Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter.

Hardware Pal has noted that the highly controversial video game business investor analyst has rolled out a chart and some interesting quotes regarding the eighth generation of gaming.

By now, most of you know that Michael Pachter has no love for Nintendo, so he wasn't going to say anything good about them anyway (no different than I would say anything good about DRM). But his charted insights are a bit interesting, especially how he comes to the conclusion of the PS4 winning eighth gen.

First up, Pachter predicts that the Wii U will tank under 20 million units, the Xbox One will be relegated to second place and the PS4 will dominate...
“This is how it goes: We expect Sony’s and Microsoft’s new consoles to thrive over the next three years, with cumulative worldwide sales of 37.7 million PS4 and 29 million Xbox One consoles by year-end 2016. We do not expect Nintendo’s Wii U to fare as well, with cumulative sales of under 20 million by 2016.”

Sorry to break it to you Pach-Man, but Nintendomination is still in effect and right now it's the market leader whether people want to acknowledge it or not (most opt toward “not”).

However, I do agree that it will probably be PS4 over Xbox One as far as install base goes. Microsoft is slow to the punch with getting the Xbox One into more territories, and their sports-TV package is mostly aimed at North Americans – though I imagine Microsoft will eventually offer something for those in PAL territories.

Given the limited region roll-out of the Xbox One across the western countries and very little details on their eastern launch, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Xbox One trail behind the PS4 throughout 2014 up through 2016.

One of the ways Pachter and crew came to the analytical presumption follows from the chart below.


EA releasing a new Battlefield in 2014 is a throwaway. The gauge on Ubisoft and Watch Dogs seems about right. The PS4 hardware manufacturing costs is spot on. What's baffling is that part about the PS4's terms of service... like, really? Sony already made it known that in the TOS you need permission to buy/rent/sell and Sony gave PS4 owners permission to buy/rent/sell. Fact checking for the win? I guess not.

The last part of the chart is something I can completely get behind... they seem to recognize the true potential of the Xbox 720p. I guess that last part is there to remind Xbox owners that there will be more 720p games to look forward to in the future? Well, that's not surprising especially with Titanfall just around the corner and 720p looking to be a part of its repertoire as well.

(Main image courtesy of Platformin.co)
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