Warning! The following contains spoilers from the Big Brother Season 23 live feeds! Read at your own risk!
Brandon "Frenchie" French has headlined a chaotic week in the Big Brother household, and his indecision and tendency to create a ton of alliances has resulted in a lot more action than fans are typically used to seeing this early. Now that the dust has settled on the drama, it's looking like we know who the first exit of Big Brother Season 23 will be.
Right now, the two houseguests on the block are Travis Long and Alyssa Lopez. Travis found himself on the block after Derek Xiao's veto win resulted in Kyland Young being taken off the block. Now Frenchie has his third option up on the block, and it appears as if we know the most likely choice between Travis and Alyssa will soon be out the door.
Travis Long Will Likely Be Evicted In Week 1
Typically when a Big Brother Houseguest is nominated as a third option with no plan for a backdoor, they're safe. Unfortunately for Travis Long, he hasn't yet made many connections in the house, while Alyssa Lopez has joined The Slaughterhouse alliance first created by Brandon "Frenchie" French. She also did a good job of selling herself as loyal to Frenchie before the veto competition even happened, so things looked bad for whoever was up next to her before Travis was in the picture.
Can Travis Still Be Saved?
Big Brother fans know a vote is never a sure thing until the live eviction is over, and while things aren't looking good, Travis Long can save himself. First, he'd need the support of his teammates, which consist of Claire Rehfuss, Tiffany Mitchell, and Kyland Young. They have a vested interest to keep Travis in the game to better their odds of safety in the first 4 weeks, but even then, Travis would need the vote of seven Houseguests to remain in the game.
In the hypothetical situation where Travis can get Claire, Tiffany, and Kyland, he'd still need a whole other team's worth of people to stay. Derek Xiao really seems like the only Houseguest outside that willing to throw him a vote. It feels obvious that no one on Alyssa Lopez's Kings team (Christian Birkenberger, Xavier Prather, and Sarah Steagall) will vote against her. That leaves him to try to work on the remaining Houseguests in the Queens and Jokers.
The easiest path for Travis Long to survive Thursday's eviction would be to convince the current Head of Household Frenchie that Alyssa Lopez is a bigger threat to the Big Brother house. At this point, that's an objective fact, and Travis could absolutely use the fact that he doesn't have any alliances or a leg to stand on to his advantage. If he can sell that angle and change Frenchie's mind, I guarantee the house would follow suit and send Alyssa packing.