The nominees for the 2015 Golden Globes were revealed this week, on the heels of similar nominations for the SAG Awards. And while these groups aren’t directly connected with the Academy, they certainly have a massive impact on the ongoing state of the Oscar race. We discuss how and why in this week’s Awards Blend podcast.

There’s a lot of movement on the charts this week. Following the Golden Globes and the SAG nominations, I feel comfortable letting films that hung on as Longshots fall by the way side. Some things can change between now and the morning that the Oscar nominations are revealed. But with multiple regional and national critics groups selecting their favorite films – and the HFPA and SAG bodies revealing their top picks – the races in MOST of the major Oscar categories are starting to clear.

As of Friday, December 12, here’s where I think our major contenders stand:

oscar winner prediction
BEST PICTURE

The Frontrunners

Boyhood
Birdman
Selma
The Contenders

American Sniper
Foxcatcher
Gone Girl
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
A Most Violent Year
The Theory of Everything
The Dark Horses

Inherent Vice
Into the Woods
Nightcrawler
Still Alice
Unbroken
Whiplash
Wild
The Longshots

Big Eyes
The Gambler
Interstellar

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